Since the beginning of this year, we have been talking about the topic of this year's textile market, "The peak season is not booming, the off-season is ahead of schedule". I always feel that the past is the "out of sight" season and the orders received softly.

But have you ever thought that the textile market may now be a peak, and the latter situation will only be worse.

Through statistical analysis of the capacity utilization data of the textile industry from the National Bureau of Statistics.

We can clearly see that the capacity utilization rate of the textile industry is higher in the second quarter of each year, the lower in the third and fourth quarters, and the textile industry capacity in the first and second quarters of the past 19 years. The utilization rate has dropped sharply compared with the previous two years, and the upcoming third and fourth quarters will have lower capacity utilization rates throughout the year.

That is to say, the current production situation of the textile industry is not only bad compared with the previous years, but more importantly, it is still going to a worse future.

Textile market lacks economic environment support

The quality of any industry is inseparable from the trend of the economic environment, and the textile industry is no exception. Judging from the GDP growth rate announced by the country in the second quarter, the future seems to be less optimistic.

The GDP growth rate in the second quarter of this year has reached a new low, and the quarterly growth rate of GDP has the same pattern as the capacity utilization rate of our textile industry. The first and second quarters are the peaks of the year, and the third and fourth quarters are Go lower.

Then the national GDP growth rate in the third and fourth quarters of the future may be further slowed down, which is even worse for the textile industry that is “hard to help”.

Textile factory, printing and dyeing factory operating pressure is increasing

Today, different weaving factories and printing and dyeing factories are producing "with tears" every day.

According to the monitoring of sample weaving companies, the stock of grey cloth in Shengze area has reached 41-42 days. The lack of terminal trade orders has made the weaving mills "bitter", but the price of raw materials has been down, which has diluted some of the production costs and allowed the weaving mills to reduce the price. However, the raw material side is not "Bodhisattva", and it is not always possible to "send charcoal in the snow."

Recently, PTA ignored the tension of the downstream capital chain and repeatedly saw it between the big rise and the big drop, trying to stimulate production and sales and harvest profits. At present, the price of raw materials is already at a historical low level. It is only a matter of time before entering the upward channel. It was really time for the weaving mills with high stocks to stop production and perhaps a better choice.

As the "oligarch" of the textile industry, dyeing factories are affected by environmental protection policies, and the number in Jiangsu and Zhejiang will only decrease.

It is reasonable to say that it should be in an absolute position of "supply less than demand" and firmly grasp the right of price discourse. However, this year's situation has made some dyeing factory owners somewhat confused, and the dyeing fee is completely dare not to rise, even if the dye is super Costs should also be carefully quoted.

According to the person in charge of a dyeing factory, according to environmental protection requirements, the factory has replaced a lot of machines with huge amounts of money, and added a lot of waste water purification equipment, plus security, hazardous, labor insurance, etc., the cost is doubled. rise. However, the current situation is that more than 100 dyeing cylinders have a 6-70% operating rate of dyeing cylinders a month ago, and these days have dropped to 50%. As for whether the future situation will continue to "deteriorate", I don't even think about it now.

Compared with the previous years, it is undoubtedly a lighter off season.

Think rationally: the economic environment is weak, the factory operating rate is falling, the price of raw materials is rising, and so on. It seems that the future will only be more cruel than now.

But the peak season will not come again, the answer is yes, but the night before dawn is very difficult, many companies, factories do not necessarily adhere to that day, and the remaining few continue to divide the original "cake"

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